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The declining authority of statistics and the experts who analyse them

www.theguardian.com Essays & writing News reports Society & policy Candidate
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Page preview · captured 2026-07-20

Resurfaced independently across 2 calendar years, with breakout response in 2 of them.

submissions
5
submitters
5
observed span
2017–2019
peak thread · 114 comments
104 pts
latest 20+ return · 2019-10-27
58 pts

Submission timeline

2007–2026

One slot for every year since HN launched. Height is that year's peak points; orange marks a 100+ point or 50+ comment breakout. Select a bar to open its strongest thread.

First comments on top threads

HN comment order

Statistics is not trusted because it shouldn't be. It is incredibly easy to lie with statistics. There's even a tutorial: https://www.amazon.com/How-Lie-Statistics-Darrell-Huff/dp/03... Statistics is ultimately counting, and therefore is incredibly vulnerable to discretion in choosing "what counts". Take the unemployment rate as one example. When people realize that its not equivalent to "people who do not have a job", how can you complain that they trust statistics less? Expert authority is in decline because it…

mjfl·104-point thread·

Ultimately, I feel this headline ("Statistics have lost their power," in case the Guardian changes it later) buries the lede. The dispute is not really about statistics as a way of understanding the world, it is about the epistemology of it, and at its core the idea that a national aggregate is a valid proxy for well-being. It's easy to decry: > Presented with official estimates of how many immigrants are in the country illegally, a common response is to…

The first top-level comment from each of the four biggest threads, in HN’s own order. Excerpts are shortened; open a comment for full context.

Breakout years
2

100+ points or 50+ comments

Total points
178

reference only — not used in Hall rules or ranking

Total comments
178

reference only — not used in Hall rules or ranking

Every submission

DateTitle as submittedByPointsComments
2017-01-19The declining authority of statistics and the experts who analyse themFirst breakout · Best threadprmph104114
2017-01-19How statistics lost their powerdanso20
2017-01-20How statistics lost their power – and why we should fear what comes nextVannatter110
2017-01-21How statistics lost their powerimartin2k30
2019-10-27Statistics have lost their power (2017)Latest 20+ point returnprostoalex5864