Submission timeline
2007–2026One slot for every year since HN launched. Height is that year's peak points; orange marks a 100+ point or 50+ comment breakout. Select a bar to open its strongest thread.
First comments on top threads
HN comment order1. XML databases will surpass relational databases in popularity by 2011. We got NoSQL (esp. JSON based ones) instead of XML. Close enough though. 2. Someone will make a lot of money by hosting open-source web applications. Github is cool but with all the cheapskate web devs (no offense, I am one of them) I don't think it is _that_ profitable. 3. Multi-threaded programming will fall out of favor by 2012. Not really. We are already in the multicore age…
I think he's being overly harsh on himself. As he said in the original rant "the predictions themselves don't matter! Most of them are probably wrong. The point of the exercise is the exercise itself, not in what results" Imagine someone in 1850 making the prediction that "by 1950, everyone will have a horse". Though they say "horse", they really mean "everyone will be able to afford their own personal transport", as a reflection on the changing socioeconmic something something…
The first top-level comment from each of the four biggest threads, in HN’s own order. Excerpts are shortened; open a comment for full context.
- Breakout years
- 2
- Total points
- 774
- Total comments
- 473
100+ points or 50+ comments
reference only — not used in Hall rules or ranking
reference only — not used in Hall rules or ranking
Every submission
| Date | Title as submitted | By | Points | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-02-15 | Ten predictions (2004)First breakout · Best thread | S4M | 457 | 309 |
| 2015-02-28 | Steve Yegge's Ten Predictions (2004) | andybak | 2 | 0 |
| 2015-09-03 | Steve Yegge Grades His Own PredictionsLatest 20+ point return | krupan | 315 | 164 |